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  IBM demonstrates Deep Thunder in Hawaii

IBM demonstrates Deep Thunder in Hawaii

The capabilities developed and utilized for a number of past experiments were demonstrated at two locations in Hawaii in March 1999.  The first was part of the International Workshop on Next Generation Climate Models for Advanced High Performance Computing Facilities, March 1-3, 1999, organized by the Research Organization for Information Science and Technology (RIST) of Japan.  The second was part of a presentation at the Maui High Performance Computing Center (MHPCC) in Kihei on March 4, 1999 among a series of seminars on weather forecasting.  The system was adapted to Hawaii as shown below.  For this and any of the subsequent images, you can view a higher-resolution version by simply clicking on it.  You can also interact with this map via a scene in PanoramIX or simplified VRML.

Two mesoscale forecasts were produced at 6.5 km resolution in a region roughly 650x650 km in extent, one for each of the aforementioned venues.  In both cases, raw observations and access to data assimilation via LAPS for the pre-processor step were unavailable.  Further, useful data from the ETA synoptic scale model from NCEP, which are computed at 32 km resolution, but sampled at 80 km for public availability, did not exist.  Hence, the results of a lower-resolution model, AVN, which covers Hawaii were used for both initial and boundary conditions.

The first forecast was done for March 2 and a sample result is shown below.  One goal was to investigate what really could be done with limited resources.  In this case, the input data was downloaded on a laptop (IBM Thinkpad 600) via modem connection from the hotel where the workshop was taking place.  The laptop was connected via an inexpensive ethernet hub to two IBM RS/6000 43P-260 workstation.  Both of these workstation have an SMP configuration with two, 200 MHz 630 processors.  One of the machines was used for running RAMS, the other was used for I/O and doing interactive visualization.  There was no opportunity to optimize performance for this configuration, yet an 18-hour forecast was completed in roughly four hours.  Output from RAMS every 10 minutes of forecast time were provided for browsing visualization, such as the image below or via animation produced during the workshop.  The 109-frame animation shows typical convective effects and wind patterns in Hawaii.  (The animation can also be viewed at higher resolution, but the file is three times bigger.)  The image shows a terrain map, pseudo-colored by predicted surface humidity overlaid with coastline maps with some major cities marked for 2 PM local time on March 2.  Predicted winds are illustrated by streamlines with directional arrows, colored by speed.  In the animation, one can observe how the lee side of the islands, particularly the big island of Hawaii, is wetter.  One can also observe vortex shedding in the winds off the coast of that island.  This particular time step can also be examined via a flyover animation, simplified VRML geometry and a PanoramIX scene. (The flyover animation can also be viewed at higher resolution, but the file is about two times bigger.)

The second experiment on March 4, at MHPCC, utilized sixteen 160 MHz P2SC thin nodes for computation on their very large SP.  An additional 160 MHz P2SC thin node was used for I/O.  The aforementioned workstations were available for interaction.  Output from RAMS every 10 minutes of forecast time were provided for browsing visualization and tracking while the simulation was running.  In addition, interactive visualization applications for the analysis of post-processed model results were available operationally, which are illustrated below.

Output from RAMS every 10 minutes of forecast time were provided for browsing visualization, such as the image below or via animation produced during the workshop.  The 145-frame animation shows typical convective effects and prevaling winds in Hawaii.  (The animation can also be viewed at higher resolution, but the file is three times bigger.)  The image shows a terrain map, pseudo-colored by color-filled contour bands of predicted temperature overlaid with coastline maps for 7 PM local time on March 4.  Predicted winds are illustrated by arrows, colored by speed.  Total cloud water density is illustrated by white, translucent isosurfaces and predicted reflectivities by cyan, translucent isosurfaces.  In the animation, one can observe how the lee side of the islands, particularly the big island of Hawaii, is wetter.  One can also observe vortex shedding in the winds off the coast of that island.  This particular time step can also be examined via a flyover animation, simplified VRML geometry and a PanoramIX scene. (The flyover animation can also be viewed at higher resolution, but the file is about two times bigger.)


After each RAMS execution, all of the results are collected and reorganized into a form that can be used by standard meteorological analysis tools as provided by NWS (e.g., AWIPS), FSL and others.  These post-processed data were made available for two interactive applications.  This includes all of computed variables from the model, but at hourly resolution unlike the browser application that worked with a subset of variables but at six times the temporal resolution.  Here is a sample image and animation created with this application for the previously discussed forecast run at MHPCC initiated on Thursday, March 4 at 12Z UTC (2 AM HST).

A surface variable (precipitable water) has been selected for display as pseudo-colored filled contour bands, which are overlaid on a topographic map.  Coastlines (black) are draped on the surface.  An upper air variable (relative humidity) has been selected for display via surface extraction.  The surface at 90% is requested in translucent white, which corresponds roughly to a cloud boundary.  Another field (vertical wind speed) has been selected to show as a vertical slice, which is pseudo-color contoured.  Any of the three-dimensional fields available from the model can be visualized with either of these methods.  The upper air wind data can be seen along two vertical profiles, which are specified interactively, and via streamribbons.  The direction of the model wind field along these "virtual sounding" is shown via vector arrows.  Both the arrows and ribbons are pseudo-colored by horizontal wind speed.  The length of the arrows also corresponds to the horizontal speed.  Points along the profile are used as seeds for the streamribbon integration.  Each profile is realized as a pseudo-colored tube, which is contoured by the variable selected for isosurface realization (i.e., relative humidity).  The visualization for the profile marked 2 can help illustrate the vortex shedding described earlier.

The other application is a RAMS slicer, which provides two- and 2-1/2-dimensional interaction with surface and upper layers of the model data.  Here is a sample image and animation for the same forecast.

Five different surface variables have been selected in a combined visualization.  Precipatable water is shown as pseudo-color.  Wind velocity is illustrated as vector arrows, colored by speed.  Colored line contours of maximum reflectivity in increments of 3 dbZ are shown.  These planar representations are deformed vertically by relative humidity to create a shaded surface.  A coastline map (black) is draped on the surface.  Finally, temperature values at discrete locations are also shown by value on the surface.  Any of the surface and upper air fields available from the model can be visualized with any of these methods.  One can see the distinctions between the leeward and windward sides of the islands in this representation, particularly for the large island of Hawaii.


To evaluate these model results, it is useful to compare them to actual observations, which are discussed on the next page.


lloydt@watson.ibm.com




  
 

  

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