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Fully-informed producer and consumers

As a reference point, we analyze the case where the consumers are fully informed about their individual values of tex2html_wrap_inline1056 , the producer knows the distribution tex2html_wrap_inline1370 , and the producer and the consumers act so as to maximize their expected gain.

Integrating g, we obtain the cumulative distribution tex2html_wrap_inline1382 . From Eq. 6 we can compute the conditional distribution

  eqnarray193

The average valuation for this conditional distribution is tex2html_wrap_inline1384 . Using Eqs. 5 and 9, we obtain the expected number of purchased articles and the expected surplus (assuming the consumer subscribes):

  eqnarray204

To compute the producer's expected profit as a function of tex2html_wrap_inline1038 and F, we can substitute Eqs. 12 into Eq.10, which yields:

  eqnarray213

where tex2html_wrap_inline1390 is defined as tex2html_wrap_inline1392 and tex2html_wrap_inline1394 is defined as the unique solution to tex2html_wrap_inline1396 .

Eq. 13 can be visualized as a profit landscape in which the expected profit is plotted as a function of F and tex2html_wrap_inline1038 . It is convenient to define a normalized expected profit tex2html_wrap_inline1402 and a normalized fee f = F/N. Fig. 1 illustrates the landscape for two different production costs: tex2html_wrap_inline1034 and tex2html_wrap_inline1036 .

  
Figure 1: Profit landscape tex2html_wrap_inline1026 . h is a uniform distribution with tex2html_wrap_inline1414 , tex2html_wrap_inline1416 . a) Production cost tex2html_wrap_inline1034 . b) Production cost tex2html_wrap_inline1036 .

In each such landscape, there are two ridges. The lower ridge, which demarcates the boundary beyond which the producer attracts no consumers and thus makes no profit, is defined by tex2html_wrap_inline1422 . The upper ridge is described by a piecewise joining of two nonlinear curves, the simpler one being described by the relation tex2html_wrap_inline1424 . This portion of the ridge has the following characteristics:

The other portion of the ridge is defined by a more complex nonlinear relation between f and tex2html_wrap_inline1038 . It is less sharp, resulting from derivatives with respect to f and tex2html_wrap_inline1038 being zero rather than jumping discontinuously from positive to negative gif.

Figure 2 shows the dependence of the optimal f and tex2html_wrap_inline1038 upon the production cost tex2html_wrap_inline1046 . There is a discontinuous derivative at tex2html_wrap_inline1476 , due to the switchover between the two nonlinear curves that define the upper ridge in the landscape. As one might guess, the profit tex2html_wrap_inline1042 decreases monotonically with the production cost. The proportion m of consumers that subscribe is 1 for all tex2html_wrap_inline1482 ; for tex2html_wrap_inline1046 exceeding this threshold the proportion of subscribers is strictly less than one, and is given by tex2html_wrap_inline1486 .

   figure269
Figure 2: Optimal price-per-item tex2html_wrap_inline1038 , normalized subscription fee f, normalized profit tex2html_wrap_inline1042 , and fraction of subscribers m vs. item production cost tex2html_wrap_inline1046 , where h is a uniform distribution with tex2html_wrap_inline1414 , tex2html_wrap_inline1416 .


next up previous
Next: Uninformed consumers Up: Rational and Bounded-Rational Players Previous: Rational and Bounded-Rational Players

kephart
Thu Nov 18 11:46:57 EST 1999