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Lower limit on w_1

 

Today's shopbots are used by only a small fraction of shoppers. This is due at least in part to the fact that many potential users are unaware of the existence of shopbots, and others do not know where to find them or how to use them. One way of modeling buyers who do not use shopbots is to assume that such uninformed users are buyers of type 1, for which they incur only fixed cost tex2html_wrap_inline1364 . This establishes a lower limit on the fraction tex2html_wrap_inline1346 , which we denote tex2html_wrap_inline2108 . In particular, tex2html_wrap_inline2108 represents the fraction of uninformed buyers who guarantee the sellers a strictly positive profit surplus.

In order to explore the outcome of some proportion of buyers failing to adopt low-cost search methods (perhaps due to ignorance about shopbots' existence or about how to use them), we now impose a lower limit on tex2html_wrap_inline1346 , denoted tex2html_wrap_inline2108 . Fig. 6(a) depicts the result of imposing tex2html_wrap_inline2116 , with linear search costs tex2html_wrap_inline2118 . Allowing the system to evolve from initial strategy vector tex2html_wrap_inline2120 , the system reaches an equilibrium in which only types 1 and 4 co-exist, with tex2html_wrap_inline2122 and tex2html_wrap_inline2124 , rather than types 1 and 2 as was the case in the traditional economic setting that was analyzed in Sec. 3.2.

In numerous experiments with tex2html_wrap_inline1346 bounded below and linear search costs, we have observed that the final equilibrium always consists of a mixture of buyer types 1 and i, where i is not necessarily 2, as it must be when tex2html_wrap_inline1346 is determined in an entirely endogenous fashion. The strategy i depends on the values of tex2html_wrap_inline2108 and tex2html_wrap_inline1350 . Table 1 illustrates the dependence of the strategy i that mixes with strategy 1 upon tex2html_wrap_inline2108 and the incremental cost tex2html_wrap_inline1350 . Higher values of tex2html_wrap_inline2108 lead to higher equilibrium strategies i (more extensive search) while higher incremental costs tex2html_wrap_inline1350 lead to lower equilibrium strategies i (less extensive search). For the table entries tex2html_wrap_inline2154 and tex2html_wrap_inline2156 , multiple equilibria are obtained. In these cases, the initial setting of the strategy vector determines which equilibrium obtains.

   table419
Table 1: Search strategy or strategies that co-exist with type 1 search strategy, as a function of tex2html_wrap_inline2108 and incremental cost tex2html_wrap_inline1350 .

   figure429
Figure 6: (a) Evolution of indicated components of buyer strategy vector tex2html_wrap_inline1472 for 5 sellers, with linear search costs tex2html_wrap_inline1340 and tex2html_wrap_inline2116 . Starting from tex2html_wrap_inline2178 indicated in the text, tex2html_wrap_inline1472 evolves towards equilibrium with only types 1 and 4 present. (b) Two-dimensional cross-section of basin of attraction for tex2html_wrap_inline2154 .

The effect of initial conditions on equilibrium selection in the case tex2html_wrap_inline2154 is illustrated in Fig. 6(b). Four equilibria are possible, all of the form tex2html_wrap_inline2186 , for i=2,3,4,5. The set of initial conditions leading to equilibrium i -- its ``basin of attraction'' -- forms a contiguous, smoothly bounded region, a two-dimensional cross-section of which is depicted in Fig. 6(b).


next up previous
Next: Shopbots as Economic Agents Up: Shopbot Experiments Previous: Nonlinear search costs

kephart
Mon Mar 20 09:23:33 EST 2000