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Exogenous Buyer Decisions

 

Initially, we focus on the strategic decision-making of the sellers, by assuming the distribution of the buyer population is fixed and exogenously determined. In this case, there are no pure strategy Nash equilibria whenever tex2html_wrap_inline1520 gif; a proof of this claim is provided in Appendix A. There does, however, exist a symmetric Nash equilibrium in mixed strategies, which we derive presently.

Let f(p) denote the probability density function according to which sellers set their equilibrium prices, and let F(p) denote the corresponding cumulative distribution function. Following Varian [19], we note that in the range for which it is defined, F(p) has no mass points, since otherwise a seller could decrease its price by an arbitrarily small amount and experience a discontinuous increase in profits. Moreover, there are no gaps in the distribution, since otherwise prices would not be optimal -- a seller charging a price at the low end of the gap could increase its price to fill the gap while retaining its market share, thereby increasing its profits. The cumulative distribution function F(p) is computed in terms of the quantity tex2html_wrap_inline1504 .

Recall that tex2html_wrap_inline1504 represents the probability that buyers select seller s as their potential seller. This function is expressed in terms of the probabilistic demand for seller s by buyers of type i, namely tex2html_wrap_inline1548 , for tex2html_wrap_inline1426 . The first component tex2html_wrap_inline1552 . Consider the next component tex2html_wrap_inline1554 . Buyers of type 1 select sellers at random; thus, the probability that seller s is selected by such buyers is simply tex2html_wrap_inline1560 . Now consider buyers of type 2. In order for seller s to be selected by a buyer of type 2, s must be included within the pair of sellers being sampled -- which occurs with probability tex2html_wrap_inline1568 -- and s must be lower in price than the other seller in the pair. Since, by the assumption of symmetry, the other seller's price is drawn from the same distribution, this occurs with probability 1 - F(p). Therefore tex2html_wrap_inline1574 . In general, seller s is selected by a buyer of type i with probability tex2html_wrap_inline1580 , and seller s is the lowest-priced among the i sellers selected with probability tex2html_wrap_inline1586 , since these are i - 1 independent events. Thus, tex2html_wrap_inline1590 , andgif

  equation119

A Nash equilibrium in mixed strategies requires that all prices that receive positive probability yield equal payoffs, otherwise it would not be optimal to randomize. Thus, assuming tex2html_wrap_inline1600 for all sellers s, the equilibrium payoff tex2html_wrap_inline1604 , for all prices p. The precise value of tex2html_wrap_inline1394 can be derived by considering the maximum price that sellers are willing to charge, say tex2html_wrap_inline1610 . At this price, tex2html_wrap_inline1612 , which by Eq. 2 implies that tex2html_wrap_inline1614 . Identifying the expression (p - r) g (p) as the profit function of a monopolist, this function attains its maximal value (the monopolist's profit) at say tex2html_wrap_inline1618 . Therefore, for all sellers s, and for all prices p, tex2html_wrap_inline1624 , and hence,

  equation131

implicitly defines p and F (p) in terms of one another and g (p), for all p such that tex2html_wrap_inline1634 .

The function g (p) can be expressed as tex2html_wrap_inline1638 , where tex2html_wrap_inline1640 is the probability density function describing the likelihood that a given buyer has valuation x. For example, suppose that the buyers' valuations are uniformly distributed between 0 and v, with v > 0; then the integral yields g (p) = 1 - p / v, for tex2html_wrap_inline1650 . This case was studied in Greenwald, et al. [10]. In this paper, we assume tex2html_wrap_inline1652 for all buyers b, in which case tex2html_wrap_inline1640 is the Dirac delta function tex2html_wrap_inline1658 , and the integral yields a step function tex2html_wrap_inline1660 as follows:

  equation140

For the assumed distribution of buyer valuations, the monopolist's profit function is simply p - r, for tex2html_wrap_inline1650 , which is maximized at price tex2html_wrap_inline1668 . At this price, the monopolist's profits tex2html_wrap_inline1670 . Inserting these values into Eq. 3 and solving for p in terms of F yields:

  equation149

Eq. 5 has several important implications. First of all, in a population in which there are no buyers of type 1 (i.e., tex2html_wrap_inline1526 ) the sellers charge the production cost c and earn zero profits; this is the traditional Bertrand equilibrium. On the other hand, if the population consists of just two buyer types, 1 and some tex2html_wrap_inline1684 , then it is possible to invert p(F) to obtain:

  equation156

The case in which i = S was studied previously by Varian [19]; in this model, buyers either choose a single seller at random (type 1) or search all sellers and choose the lowest-priced among all sellers (type S).

Since F(p) is a cumulative probability distribution, it is only valid in the domain for which its valuation is between 0 and 1. The upper boundary is tex2html_wrap_inline1696 , since prices above this threshold lead to Des-creases in market share that exceed the benefits of increased profits per unit. The lower boundary tex2html_wrap_inline1698 can be computed by setting tex2html_wrap_inline1700 in Eq. 3, which yields:

  equation167

In general, Eq. 5 cannot be inverted to obtain an analytic expression for F(p). It is possible, however, to plot F(p) without resorting to numerical root finding techniques. We use Eq. 5 to evaluate p at equally spaced intervals in tex2html_wrap_inline1708 ; this produces unequally spaced values of p ranging from tex2html_wrap_inline1698 to v.

We now consider the probability density function f (p). For the given choice of g (p), the sellers' profits tex2html_wrap_inline1394 are as follows:

  equation174

Differentiating both sides of Eq. 8 with respect to p and substituting Eq. 2, we obtain an expression for f(p) in terms of F(p) and p that is conducive to numerical evaluation:

  equation180

The values of f(p) at the boundaries tex2html_wrap_inline1698 and v are as follows:

  equation186

Fig. 2(a) and 2(b) depict the PDFs in the prescribed model under varying distributions of buyer strategies -- in particular, tex2html_wrap_inline1326 and tex2html_wrap_inline1738 -- when S = 5 and S = 20, respectively. In both figures, f(p) is bimodal when tex2html_wrap_inline1746 , as is derived in Eq. 10. Most of the probability density is concentrated either just above tex2html_wrap_inline1698 , where sellers expect low margins but high volume, or just below v, where they expect high margins but low volume. In addition, moving from S = 5 to S = 20, the boundary tex2html_wrap_inline1698 decreases, and the area of the no-man's land between these extremes diminishes. In contrast, when tex2html_wrap_inline1758 , a peak appears in the distribution. If a seller does not charge the absolute lowest price when tex2html_wrap_inline1746 , then it fails to obtain sales from any buyers of type S. In the presence of buyers of type 2, however, sellers can obtain increased sales even when they are priced moderately. Thus, there is an incentive to price in this manner, as is depicted by the peak in the distribution. The case in which tex2html_wrap_inline1766 : i.e., tex2html_wrap_inline1768 is explored in more detail in the next section.

   figure199
Figure 2: PDFs for tex2html_wrap_inline1326 and tex2html_wrap_inline1328 .

Recall that the profit earned by each seller is tex2html_wrap_inline1776 ; this quantity is strictly positive so long as tex2html_wrap_inline1778 . It is as though only buyers of type 1 are contributing to sellers' profits, although the actual distribution of contributions from buyers of type 1 vs. buyers of type i > 1 is not as one-sided as it appears. In reality, buyers of type 1 are charged less than v on average, and buyers of type i > 1 are charged more than r on average, although total profits are equivalent to what they would be if the sellers practiced perfect price discrimination. In effect, buyers of type 1 exert negative externalities on buyers of type i > 1, by creating surplus profits for sellers.


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Next: Endogenous Buyer Decisions Up: Analysis Previous: Analysis

kephart
Mon Mar 20 09:23:33 EST 2000