| Ranking pilots in aerobatics contests | ![]() |
IAC 2004 Contest Data AnalysisThe pages indexed here contain data from IAC sponsored regional contests in 2004. The page organization is a tree hierarchy:
The regional pages start a look at what is going-on in the regional events. Please send any comments regarding these pages to dclo@us.ibm.com. The page linked here contains information about any errors or corrections, and updates to the data. PurposesThe purposes of this work are twofold:
A look inside of TBLPThe detail figures for TBLP come from an experimental implementation of TBLP (eTBLP) whose results match closely, but not exactly with those of the official scoring program. The flight detail pages show all pilots' grades from all judges. The pages display individual figure grades and overall scores that eTBLP adjusted with orange. They display grades that eTBLP averaged entirely with red. Tracking over the figures with the cursor exposes pop-up frames that contain additional details of the eTBLP calculation. The page linked here contains additional explanation of the computational details exposed by eTBLP. Three methods for ranking pilotsThe three methods for pilot ranking compared here are as follows:
The contests list and the individual contest pages show summary statistics regarding TBLP and how closely results from the three methods correlate. You will find an explanation for those statistics here. Consensus RankingThe following result provides an example of consensus ranking. The figures in the columns are the ranks from each judge. The rows represent the pilots, ordered by the consensus rank. Going down the rows it is easy to verify that the majority of judges ranks each pilot ahead of the pilots further down.
The page linked here contains further description of the CR method. AcknowledgmentsComputation of the consensus rank is known in Computer Science circles as an "np-complete" problem. It becomes exponentially more difficult to do with increasing number of pilots. Andrew Davenport at the IBM T.J.Watson Research Center has developed an efficient pruning algorithm for finding the consensus rank. All of the results in this data set were computed with that algorithm in one or two seconds on a notebook computer. We are hoping to try larger data sets from the world contests, where there are as many as sixty or seventy pilots in a category. The suggestion to try ranking pilots using individual judges' ranks, rather than scores, came from David Harville, also at the IBM T.J.Watson Research Center. The use of ranks eliminates differences in the individual scoring practices of judges, yielding a metric that may fairly be compared from one judge to another. Thank you to Lisa Popp and Tom Meyers at IAC for supplying the contest data. These pages and the experimental TBLP implementation were produced by Douglas Lovell at the IBM T.J.Watson Research Center. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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