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Keith Duggar

Current Position:
Research Staff Member
Functional Genomics and Systems Biology Group
IBM research, T.J. Watson Research Center
Yorktown Heights, NY 10598

Contact Information:
work : (914) 945-2102
cell : (617) 270-4535
mail : duggar@alum.mit.edu

Education:
Chemical Engineering, Georgia Institute of Technology, 1996
Chemical Engineering, Massachusetts Institute of Technology , 2004

Research Interests:
Probability, Physical Modeling, Data Analysis, Bayesian Analysis, Statistical Analysis, Gene Expression

When new technologies begin to provide data of a kind never seen before, a great excitement understandably spreads through the eager research community. However, often this excitement turns to frustration as users of the technology begin to discover it quirks and warts and realize there is insufficient physical understanding and a lack of analytical tools that would allow either correction of these flaws or maximal use of the data as is.

This is where I try to help. I consider the technology as from a physical perspective as fully as possible. The I use this physical knowledge to model the technology and the measures it yields. Finally these model provide the basis for probabilistic or Bayesian analysis of the data within the context of the physical model.

This method has strengths. First, because it is physically based, it is open to the full consideration and experimental validation that science offers and demands. The physicality also provides a common foundation upon which researchers can share and evaluate data. Second, the knowledge built into the model can help increase the accuracy of inferences and allow quantification of uncertainty. Finally, a physical model serves as a guide helping us to narrow the field of possible analyses. This helps to save time and avoid potentially insidious errors.

Of course, the method also has weaknesses. First, developing a physical model is usually very difficult and consumes both time and effort. Second, if the physical model is very wrong then inferences can actually be made less accurate. Third, an inaccurate model can lead investigations astray and away from key evidence that could reveal new understanding.

This is why Bayesian Analysis and Statistical Analysis are best used in tandem. Statistical Analysis is essentially and intuitive aid; a free tool for consolidating information and reducing data dimensionality to help aid the mind in gaining physical intuition. Indeed, out work relies heavily on both approaches.

Work Experience:
Harvard Center for Risk Analysis, 2000-2001

Selected Publications:
Physical Modeling and Analysis of Gene Expression Arrays, Ph. D. Thesis

Cohen, J.T., Duggar, K.H., Gray, G.M, Kreindel, S., Gubara, H., Habtemariam, T., Oryang, D., and Tameru, B. A Simulation Model for Evaluating the Potential for Spread of Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy in Animals or to People. Prions And Mad Cow Disease. Ed. Nummally, B., and Krull, I.S. Marcel Dekker, Inc. New York, NY.

Cohen, J.T., Duggar, K.H., Gray, G.M, Kreindel, S., Abdelrahman, H., Habtemariam, T., Oryang, D., and Tameru, B. (2001) Evaluation of the Potential for Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy in the United States. Prepared for the United States Department of Agriculture.


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